Justin Trudeau walked the stage at his party’s election headquarters in Montreal on Monday night to claim victory Snap poll, He felt more relieved than happy.
“I hear you when you say you just want to get back to the things you love, don’t worry about this epidemic or the election, you just want to know that all your stripe MPs will be behind you through the crisis, and beyond,” Trudeau said. Said.
The Liberal leader began his campaign last month in the eyes of the majority. His popularity has grown since his election victory in 2019 behind an effective epidemic response, which included generous stimulus checks and the supply of at least one Covid-19 jab to about 80 per cent of Canadians.
But that lead soon evaporates. Many have seen Trudeau’s snap poll a Occupying selfish power After nearly two years of minority rule that has worked well enough, the Liberals have passed significant legislation. It is led by the Conservatives Erin and Tool, Ran as a centrist with a promise to spend billions upon billions of dollars.
So when voters distributed almost identical seats and sent the parties back to Ottawa, the Liberals seemed to have won a lot by avoiding a disaster.
“I don’t think people really want elections,” said Gerald Butts, a former top aide to Trudeau and now vice-chairman of the Eurasia Group. “They did not understand why the election was held. So they sent everyone back with the same results they gave two years ago. And the verdict was: ‘Didn’t you hear us for the first time?’
Trudeau ascended to national power in 2015, two years after his election as Liberal leader. Enthusiastic, photogenic Trudeau led a third-place party in the House of Commons with just three dozen seats – the largest increase ever in a federal election.
The son of Pierre Trudeau, a charismatic former prime minister who led the Liberals for 16 years and ruled four governments for most of the 1990s, the young Trudeau promised a new “sunny way” of reunion in Canadian politics. His rise sharply contradicted the strength of the popular movement in Europe and the United States – as part of his campaign, he promised to resettle thousands of Syrian refugees in the country.
“He represents the perspective of some people in Canada, bilingual, comfortable in both languages, and I think he is reminiscent of the 70s, because his father, when Canada could be a big player on the international stage,” said Rick Greener, poll of the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Runs the tracker and writes the newsletter The Writ about the Canadian election. Trudeau’s celebrity status on the international stage, he added, has improved the self-esteem of Canadians.
“But the results of the last two campaigns show that he may not be able to reach where he was in 2015, because what he represented in 2015 was a new force that many Canadians like to think of as Canada,” he added. “He couldn’t live with it – and probably no one could.”
Trudeau will likely rule for the past two years as the leader of a minority government. The Liberals have passed legislation on the main priority, listing the New Democrats, the Left Socialist, the Progressive Party and even the occasional Conservatives as aid to their right.
That position as the natural center of Canadian politics, in a country where most citizens pride themselves on being moderate-centric, is probably part of the most powerful liberal brand. O’Toole ran to the center to reach out to voters – a proposal that brought him popularity until the controversy over gun and vaccine mandates confirmed that liberals would retain Canada’s urban centers.
“The Liberal Party brand is the strongest political brand,” said David Harrell, a former top Liberal campaign strategist and host. Harley Barley Podcast, A show on Canadian politics.
“Most Canadians don’t consider themselves ideologically extreme or pure – and the Liberal Party, it’s a triangle,” Harrell added. “It’s got a team on the left and a team on the right. This is the water hyacinth that is right for most Canadians. So this is a very strong starting position. ”
The party will likely focus on some of the priorities outlined in the campaign, including Covid-1 recovery and post-vaccine mandates, affordable housing, and দেশে 10 childcare proposals across the country. Butts, a former top aide to Trudeau, said that in the aftermath of the epidemic, there could be a good time to debate health care reform, which was empty during the crisis.
Trudeau’s popularity has plummeted since the height of 2015, he lost popular votes and failed to gain a majority, but he still hasn’t lost. Minority governments are becoming the norm in Canada – since 2004, only two elections have won a majority. Trudeau has no clear rivals, and the Liberal leader is unlikely to reduce his mandate any time soon.
“Trudeau is obviously not as popular as he was in 2015 – and this would be true for anyone who has ruled for six years – but he is still an elected leader,” Harley said. “And I think it’s probably more selective than the Liberal Party.”
Butts added that opposition parties “made three trips to the plate to kill him, and they didn’t.”
“Majority governments are hard to come by in this country, and in my lifetime there were only two liberal leaders who won a majority government against an organized Conservative party, and both were named Trudeau.”